Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 1.488812 1.689518 1.909429 2.168612 2.466173 2.797624 3.195529
2025-11-30 1.233417 1.507685 1.833057 2.248963 2.768545 3.398904 4.225689
2025-12-07 1.039763 1.350032 1.742786 2.279635 2.999318 3.937713 5.265304
2025-12-14 0.878581 1.199444 1.628220 2.248397 3.131211 4.355842 6.206109
2025-12-21 0.745409 1.061945 1.504944 2.177612 3.186263 4.663230 7.027971
2025-12-28 0.686750 1.017665 1.501058 2.269152 3.478623 5.342778 8.497508
2026-01-04 0.633520 0.972495 1.487102 2.339095 3.741796 6.007824 10.044298
2026-01-11 0.584542 0.926473 1.464067 2.388215 3.973390 6.648131 11.646049
2026-01-18 0.539200 0.879986 1.433278 2.417982 4.172519 7.255771 13.281893
2026-01-25 0.487248 0.816255 1.366015 2.375460 4.237038 7.631495 14.544524
2026-02-01 0.431705 0.740203 1.269077 2.267686 4.167136 7.748171 15.319060
2026-02-08 0.392987 0.689248 1.210018 2.220651 4.202445 8.064175 16.538095
2026-02-15 0.357650 0.642075 1.155138 2.179524 4.253063 8.435642 17.980308
2026-02-22 0.344166 0.633568 1.170368 2.275659 4.591580 9.442990 21.001640
2026-03-01 0.324529 0.611359 1.157232 2.313697 4.815916 10.246015 23.718752
2026-03-08 0.299364 0.575815 1.114299 2.285022 4.893370 10.739951 25.798400
2026-03-15 0.272533 0.534253 1.054984 2.214313 4.867891 10.996571 27.339861
2026-03-22 0.264574 0.529944 1.070836 2.308138 5.229084 12.211743 31.596775
2026-03-29 0.254995 0.521246 1.076469 2.379663 5.548187 13.376860 35.969845
2026-04-05 0.244253 0.508969 1.073055 2.429832 5.822720 14.475145 40.396352
2026-04-12 0.232752 0.493896 1.061886 2.460218 6.052191 15.494427 44.819879
2026-04-19 0.216708 0.467278 1.022225 2.416919 6.086154 15.996348 47.787266
2026-04-26 0.197433 0.431672 0.958670 2.307129 5.929539 15.948409 49.016950